
Ben STANSALL / AFP via Getty ImagesAn assist for Bruno Fernandes will break a Premier League record but opportunities may be in short supply on the South Coast. The Seagulls have limited their opposition to one or zero shots on target in three of their last four outings.
All the same, the Portuguese schemer is 4/6 to score or assist at the Amex while Luke Shaw interests in the card market. The defender has seen yellow on five occasions in his last nine starts and is 27/10 to be booked again.
Chasing down a top six spot, Brighton have been blowing hot and cold of late but have been prolific at home since the start of March, converting 2.5 goals per 90. They have also accrued a spike in corners heading down the season’s final straight, averaging seven per 90 across their last five games, compared to 3.4 per 90 in their five prior.
What happens when two desperately poor teams collide? As we witnessed in the corresponding fixture last October, an entertaining game of football accidentally breaks out.
At Molineux last autumn, five goals rained in, including a last-gasp winner for the Clarets. There were seven shots on target registered apiece.
It stands to reason therefore, as both teams bid farewell to the Premier League, a similar scenario could play out here, a combined death-rattle if you will.
Each certainly are lumbered with defences more-than-capable of facilitating a goal-fest. Burnley have shipped in 2+ goals in 68% of their league commitments this season while Wolves have kept just two clean sheets all campaign long.
Matt McNulty/Getty ImagesThe Cottagers tend to tail-off badly at the back end of Premier League seasons and 2025/26 has been no exception.
In their last five top-flight campaigns they have won only 16 of their 58 fixtures from March onwards.
This time out, there hasn’t even been a relegation dogfight or injury crisis to excuse them. Marco Silva’s men have simply run out of steam.
Only Arsenal and Manchester City have scored more first-half goals than Newcastle this term and with Fulham conceding cheap goals early – six of their last seven have come before the break – it’s reasonable to expect the visitors to strike first.
Against Brighton and West Ham in recent weeks the Magpies were virtually home and dry by half-time.
ANDY BUCHANAN / AFP via Getty ImagesAn emotional day awaits at the Etihad, with Pep Guardiola concluding a decade of domestic dominance and Villa on a high from their midweek European triumph.
If this makes predicting an outcome in Manchester tricky it gets harder still when it’s acknowledged that City looked tired on Tuesday evening at Bournemouth, worn down by one must-win fixture after another. Regarding Villa, there is a sincere risk of after-the-Lord-Mayor’s-show occurring following their celebrations in Turkey.
So to history we turn. Nine of the last 10 meetings between these sides have seen both teams scoring while it’s pertinent that the Midlands club last beat the Blues away in the league way back in 2007.
If Guardiola does sign off with a 270th Premier League victory expect Erling Haaland to be involved. The Striking Viking has scored or assisted in each of his last six outings. He boasts 10 goal involvements in eight.
Getty ImagesDue to superior goal difference a draw will suffice for Spurs, come what may, and recent form points us in that direction.
Their last two at home have both ended honours even while Everton have drawn on three occasions since the start of April.
It’s an outcome that won’t lower the blood pressure of the long-suffering fans in North London, nor will the fact that Everton have accrued a recent habit of scoring and conceding late goals. Five of their last six games have featured a goal converted in added-on time. Four have been equalisers or winners.
If the hosts are to secure safety then Richarlison has to step up, especially with Kolo Muani and Tel both struggling at present, just when their ingenuity is most needed.
The Brazilian has taken on 3+ shots in each of his last two starts.
Odds correct as of May 22nd 2026. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s.
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